目 錄 CONTENTS 1 緒 論································································································· 001 1.1 我國鋼鐵企業煤氣資源及回收利用···················································· 001 1.2 鋼鐵企業富余煤氣資源利用現狀······················································· 006 1.3 鋼鐵企業自備電廠現狀及存在的問題················································ 010 1.4 研究內容與創新點·········································································· 021 2 鋼鐵企業自備電廠機組優化配置研究······················································ 025 2.1 鋼鐵企業自備電廠煤氣系統靜態平衡分析·········································· 025 2.2 自備電廠富余煤氣量的統計學特性···················································· 027 2.3 自備電廠機組配置優化模型····························································· 034 2.4 本章小結······················································································· 047 3 鋼鐵企業自備電廠煤氣供入量預測研究··················································· 048 3.1 自備電廠煤氣供入量影響因素及模型選擇·········································· 048 3.2 ARMA時間序列預測建模································································ 051 3.3 模型驗證······················································································· 058 3.4 本章小結······················································································· 066 4 鋼鐵企業自備電廠煤氣系統優化調度研究················································ 068 4.1 自備電廠鍋爐及燃料調節特點·························································· 068 4.2 自備電廠煤氣系統優化調度模型······················································· 070 4.3 本章小結······················································································· 082 5 模型應用····························································································· 083 5.1 自備電廠機組配置優化模型在鋼鐵企業的應用··································· 083 5.2 自備電廠煤氣系統化優化調度模型在鋼鐵企業的應用·························· 095 5.3 本章小結······················································································· 116 參考文獻·································································································· 118